In relation to our previous post regarding our sports trading algorithm, it is plain to see that we avoid cup and knockout competitions.
Why is that?
In short, we don’t know what is going through the team manager’s head when it comes to prioritising one competition over another. We can’t forecast whether he’s already thinking about the next league game and rotating his starting XI accordingly. We can’t even begin to contemplate what the players are thinking, especially an away team and form, quite literally, goes out of the window.
20 years ago there was, maybe, one ‘cup upset’ a year. Now these so-called ‘upsets’ are common place as second fiddle teams play first XIs.
Lastly, there’s that old caviat of extra-time and penalties and, quite simply, it’s not something we want to get involved in.